Brussels 09.10.2025 Ukraine may soon receive Tomahawk cruise missiles, while the United States has allegedly reached an agreement with the Netherlands to transfer around 200 missiles in a re-export scheme, the Insider-T Telegram channel writes.
The same time according the Reuters news agency the Trump Administration’s wish to send long-range Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine may not be realistic because current inventories are committed to the U.S. Navy and other uses, a U.S. official and three sources said.
U.S. Vice President JD Vance said that Washington was considering a Ukrainian request to obtain long-range Tomahawks that could create havoc deep into Russia, including Moscow.
Details of the deal — including delivery routes, timelines, and who will operate the strike systems — have not yet been disclosed. However, the report specifies that the agreement involves newer Tomahawk variants with a range of up to 2,600 kilometers.
Dutch Prime Minister Dick Schoof has already visited Kyiv on an official visit and is reportedly taking part in intense talks on the conditions of the transfer and potential scenarios for re-exporting, and deploying the missiles. The decision is not a regular arms sale but a action with significant strategic implications.
Meanwhile, analysts from Military Chronicle estimate the U.S. arsenal of Tomahawk missiles at around 4,000 units across all variants. They calculate that striking major Russian targets — such as air bases, storage depots, or logistics hubs — would require between 30 and 60 missiles per target. However, they note that the effectiveness of a large-scale strike would likely be reduced by Russia’s air defense capabilities.
Even if Pentagon were to transfer its entire stock to Ukraine, the analysts estimate that only 65 to 90 targets could be hit. Such an operation, they argue, would be unlikely to change the course of the conflict but could dramatically escalate it, potentially on a global scale.
Experts also suggest that the United States is unlikely to supply more than 200 to 300 missiles to Ukraine, as Tomahawks remain critical to Washington’s own strategic planning for potential high-intensity conflicts with Moscow and Beijing.
Russian President Vladimir Putin has clearly stated Moscow’s position on the possible transfer of Tomahawk missiles to Kyiv: this would seriously damage relations between Russia and the United States. This was stated by the Russian Foreign Ministry, according to RIA Novosti.
On October 8, military correspondent German Kulikovsky, in his Telegram channel “Starshe Eddy,” suggested that the United States might transfer air-launched JASSM missiles to Ukraine, rather than Tomahawks. He stated that this is due to Kyiv having previously received F-16 fighter jets capable of carrying these missiles.
In turn, Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov stated that the momentum for resolving the conflict in Ukraine that emerged after the meeting between Vladimir Putin and Donald Trump in Alaska has been exhausted.
The Russian Deputy Foreign Minister emphasized that this was the result of destructive activity, primarily by Europeans.
Trump previously stated that he gets along with Putin but is very disappointed in him.
Why Ukraine cannot launch "Tomahawks" without the USA: observation by "Military Chronicle".
The infrastructure supporting Tomahawk missiles is a complex and multi-layered system that goes far beyond the launcher itself. Since "Tomahawks" are precision, long-range weapons using… pic.twitter.com/a6Y95D6HgC
— Mats Nilsson (@mazzenilsson) October 8, 2025
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